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The Break-Even Maths Nobody Runs Before Buying a Course

How many sales it takes to clear what you spent, and why the answer varies by seventeen times.

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Take a $2,497 course. How many sales clear it?

Product priceCommissionPer saleTo break even
$4730%$14178 sales
$9740%$3965 sales
$49750%$24910 sales
$99740%$3997 sales
$2,49750%$1,2492 sales

Read that table again

Same traffic, same effort, same skill. 178 sales or 2. The only variable is what you chose to promote.

This is why offer selection matters more than almost anything else you will do, and why it is the input beginners get wrong most reliably. They pick the cheap product because it feels easier to sell, and then need a hundred and seventy eight of them.

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The counter-argument, and its limit

Cheaper products convert at a higher rate. True — but rarely seventeen times higher, which is what would be needed to make the first row competitive with the third.

178sales at $47
10sales at $497
2sales at $2,497

The full high-ticket versus low-ticket argument has the rest of it.

More on the money

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Commission structures and platform mechanics described from public sources.
Checked 09 September 2026.